Warming Back Up to Democracy? Democratic Thermostatics and Brazil’s 2022 Presidential Election

Warming Back Up to Democracy? Democratic Thermostatics and Brazil’s 2022 Presidential Election

Latin American presidents get re-elected at extremely high rates. Yet incumbent Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro finds himself in a dogfight against his rival, former president Luiz Inácio “Lula” da Silva, in October’s presidential electoral contest. Why? The pandemic, the economy, and environmental policy may be partially to blame. But could...

Threats to the Freedom of Information Act on its Tenth Birthday

[Today's post is a translation of an op-ed that appeared in the Folha de S. Paulo] Organizational secrecy constitutes the first refuge of corruption, incompetence, and inefficiency. In this sense, perhaps the single most important advantage that democracies have over other forms of government is their ability to limit secrecy...
Bolsonaro’s Increasing Electoral Mischief

Bolsonaro’s Increasing Electoral Mischief

In their influential 2018 book “How Democracies Die” Levitsky and Ziblatt argued that rather than staging an open coup, modern leaders may subvert the democratic process by repeatedly undermining institutions. In the runup to the October election, Bolsonaro appears to be following their script closely, and his electoral mischief continues...
The Brazilian Environment on Trial

The Brazilian Environment on Trial

Since the beginning of the Bolsonaro administration, Brazil has experienced numerous environmental disasters, including the rupture of a tailings dam in Minas Gerais, wide-reaching oil spills on the northeastern coast, and a sharp increase in wildfires throughout the Amazon rainforest and the Pantanal wetlands.  International perceptions of Brazil's environmental performance have also...
China’s Campaign for Brazilian Hearts

China’s Campaign for Brazilian Hearts

China's cultural influence in Latin America remains understudied. While there are many good analyses of its rising economic heft in the Western Hemisphere, our understanding of China’s public diplomacy efforts and its cultural outreach is incipient. With the aim of beginning to address this gap, American University's Center for Latin American...
Splintering Parties and the Governance Challenge

Splintering Parties and the Governance Challenge

The hyperfragmentation of the Brazilian party system is unparalleled. The party system has splintered repeatedly over the years, with 24 parties currently represented in the lower house of Congress and 33 parties registered at the electoral court at last count. The effective number of parliamentary parties – a standard measure of parties to seats – has...
Hunger, Pandemic, and Politics

Hunger, Pandemic, and Politics

Hunger is not a new challenge for many Brazilians. But the problem has been heightened during the COVID pandemic. In Heliópolis, São Paulo’s largest favela, pre-pandemic food lines might have attracted three hundred people; now, that number has more than tripled. Brazil has re-entered the World Food Programme’s Hunger Map this year...
Indigenous Peoples: From Sins of Omission to Commission

Indigenous Peoples: From Sins of Omission to Commission

September was marked by significant protests by indigenous peoples in Brasilia.  In late August, more than six thousand native people descended on the city to accompany a long-awaited decision by the high court, the Supreme Federal Tribunal (STF), regarding the demarcation of native lands. On September 10, five thousand indigenous women...